The current Fed interest rate is 5.25%-5.50% as of 5/1/24. See how current Fed rates decisions & Fed rate hikes have impacted US interest rates. Get expert insights for Fed funds rate changes.
Figure: 5 Interest Rates Across Maturities The yield curve inversion between 10 and 2-year notes reached -83bps on Feb 14th, matching the low seen back on December 7th. Figure: 6 Tracking Yield Curve Inversion The chart below shows how the yield curve has moved up over the last month. Th...
Using a simple model that compares the history of the Fed funds rate to unemployment and consumer inflation also suggests that the current level of interest rates is sufficiently restrictive relative to the macro conditions. In the chart below, the current level of Fed funds is close to an esti...
Historical mortgage rates chart Here’s a look at how average rates have tracked for 30-year conforming mortgages dating back to the 1970s, as presented by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED): Mortgage rate predictions for 2025 To preface all of this, there’s a reason even...
“The tone of Fed Chair Jay Powell’s comments was quite hawkish, which means the Fed still has a way to go to fight inflation, and the level of interest rates will be higher than previously expected,” said Jack McIntyre, portfolio manager at Brandywine Global. “There were no hints of...
The focus is clearly seen in Notes and Bonds to keep a lid on long-term rates. The first chart shows the debt added in each of the last 4 years by instrument. The bottom chart shows the percent of that debt the Fed has purchased. In 2020, the Fed monetized more than 100% of ...
Quickly scanning this chart, there appears to be a pretty strong correlation between the two measures. The 30-year mortgage rate generally follows the same pattern as the Fed Fund Rate. If the Fed established mortgage rates, then the pattern of the 30-year mortgage would follow the pattern of...
(of say 5% a year) the Fed would provide stimulus, regardless of whether the shortfall was due to lower output or lower inflation. This would make the promise of keeping interest rates low for longer more credible. Tolerating higher inflation, occasionally and within limits, would be baked ...
The chart has to continue continuously upward. The currency is continuing to flow as a river, its distributed and everyone makes their monthly payments. Next year “5G” will kick in and computers will increase in capacity 100 FOLD . Our Dooley elected and dearly beloved DONALD JOHN TRUMP ...
“So, the Fed changed their mind, panicked, the Fed panicked. They not only stopped raising rates, they now cut rates twice, and they are going to cut rates again at the end of this month. They are also fully back in a massive QE. They have a $130 billion revolving repo facility...